From 1630-1800 hrs, we were at the Solar Energy Industries Association and European PV Industry Association side event. A reasonable crowd, with presentations by Dr Murray Cameron and Adel El Gammal (EPIA), Simon Rolland for the Alliance for Rural Electrification, and Rhone Resch of SEIA.
The following notes were taken in real time, and may be a bit dodgy...
Dr Cameron: a good overview of the benefits of solar energy: decentralised energy supply, energy security, air quality improvement, future high tech industry, net positive return to Society, Stopping deforestation, rural electrification and fast deployment (e.g 10MWp of solar PV in 8 weeks.)
- Compare motor vehicle ICE efficiency with PV at 15-18%.
- EU growth 24% up to 2003, now 39%, from EPIA analysis in Global Market Outlook for PV until 2013 - AT Kearney.
- FiT is win win for governments as they don't necessarily have to pay for it - the utility is expected to work it through, with its consumers.
- Declining cost per watt, currently dropping at about 14% p.a., expected to drop to about -5% in 2020.
- Huge end user market in Europe alone, estimated at 2.92 TWh (final energy consumption) which could be cost effective enough to power 76% of total European demand - more realistically, maybe 21% (up to ~20%) - still a challenging goal.
- "PV is an effective instrument for global climate change mitigation", providing appropriate support mechanisms are available.
- Boosting PV is an investment - not a cost - yielding huge macro-economic benefits. - More aggressive deployment gives a more profitable investment.
- Between the US (15% in 2020, using PV and CSP) and the EU at 12%, we could create 6 million jobs - more than nuclear and coal together.
We all need to take action, as individuals, towns, cities, companies and societies.
Scalable solar technologies are available, NOW.
COP policy imperatives require:
binding CO2 emission reductions, including solar, technology transfer and appropriate funding mechanisms.
Simon Rolland
: The role and potential of PV in developing countries.
The Alliance unites private sector actors in order to speak with one voice, and
generates technical and financial solutions.
- Cumulative costs of diesel gensets vs PV/Diesel hybrid installations is compelling, especially over 8-9 years and longer.
- push for rural electrification is a political challenge, Sustainable and cost-effective solutions are required.
- the financing problem: can be addressed by subsidies, fee for service, output-based aid etc.
- Local challenges MUST be addressed - local ownership and responsibility, support, service etc.
- All stakeholders must work together - not a technology problem.
Adel El Gammal:
PV in the sunbelt countries
- <+/- 35' latitude = 63 countries with 75% of world population. 1.6 billion have no electricity...
- Most have great solar access: clean and competitive, quick to deploy, decarbonised, reliable, scalable.
- possibly 60% drop in costs by 2020 (6-9 eurocents/kWh) - NREL/AT Kearney "EPIA set for 2020".
- 95% of the PV potential (250-560 GWhp) is concentrated in 20 countries.
- PV is mature, evolving and gaining efficiency, but IT WORKS, and doesn't need to be trialled.
- equally suitable for developed and developing countries
- assisting cities with distributed generation, smart grid support and quick rollout
- requires binding, ambitious targets
finance mechanisms, and technology transfer.
Rhone Resch:
Seizing the solar solutions: combating climate change through accelerated deployment - DOWNLOADABLE go to http://www.solarcop15.org/
In US, SEIA has 1000 member companies, 60,000 employees, 14 state and regional chapters, and is represented in dozens of countries including APVA.
Covers both solar hot water, PV and concentrating solar power (CSP)
India: 1-1.5 GW of solar by 2012, 20 GW by 2020. using subsidies, soft loans, low import tariffs
China: 20 GWp of cumulative capacity by 2020, 1.6 million jobs, Renewable energy law and FiT, BiPV and solar thermal applications supported.
US: by 2020 generation of 15% of electricity: 12% of PV and CSP, 3% avoided electricity. (Contrary to US naysayers). 880,000 jobs.
- Exponential growth should continue, even improve.
- Need policies now - leadership evident at home (!)
- Solar Bill of Rights www.solarbillofrights.org
1. everyone has a right to put solar on their homes or business (Al Gore fought and won.)
2. everyone has the right to connect to the grid with uniform national standards (like the web).
3. everyone has the right to net meter and compensated at, at least the full retail rate.
4. The solar industry has a right to fair, competitive environment (cf other energy industries - level playing fields).
5. Solar industry has the right to equal access to public lands (like oil industry).
6. Solar industry has a right to sell its power across a new, 21st century transmission grid.
7. everyone has the right to purchase solar electricity from their utility.
8. everyone has the right to the highest ethical standards from the solar industry.
- 85,000 coal jobs constant in US at present, compared with 65,000 solar employees right now.
- projected cross-over against electricity by 2017, without carbon pricing.
- check out web site!
We can use solar now!
Questions:
- Desertec
- Bergen NORWAY, building all Passiv Haus buildings with 50% solar-based heating - impressive, given high latitude. NB: In US (Calif) houses with PV sell faster, for a premium.
- Need to build solar infrastructure in from new, even if not using solar initially - architects and builders, including BiPV.
- Reliability and sustainability in for example, Nigeria?
Posts
No comments:
Post a Comment